Magical thinking!

Waiting for the elevator at work today I thought about something that has been plaguing my thoughts lately. I've been playing a guessing game with myself regarding the elevators. Every time I wait for the elevators outside our office, I wait a little bit, and then stare at one of the elevators. There are three elevators, so it stands to reason that I would guess correctly maybe one third of the time or slightly less. I've been guessing correctly 4 out of 5 times or so. Of course, the first thing that jumps into mind with such a streak of guessing is ESP. (or at least for anyone who's listened to a lot of coast to coast am and read a fair amount on ESP studies) So, thinking at the elevator, I realized that as a person generally opposed to magical thinking, this was not the simplest or most feasible hypothesis.
So, the fallacy of magical thinking put to the side I began to consider other alternatives. The first and probably most likely possibility seems to be measurement error, erring on the side of the fantastic and interesting. It could easily be that I have selectively not paid attention to the many many times that my elevator staring has come up dead-wrong, and that any that were correct were completely normal based on simple statistics. Also, it's possible that I could be a lucky guesser. It's completely possible for someone to guess correctly dozens of times in a row, as each time I guess there is a 1 in 3 chance of success. It's not the most likely, but it certainly is more likely than any kind of solution that calls for the blatantly supernatural or quasi-supernatural, like ESP phenomenon. If there was more causative proof or biological backing to ESP, it would not be fallacious to posit this, but without a solid physical backing, the chances are infinitely less than a good stream of guesses.
The last possibility that came to mind is by no means extra-sensory perception, but depends on the idea of subconscious perception. A person experiences far more in any given day or moment of time than they ever are aware of on the surface. Suppose I could actually hear the elevator, but it was below the threshold of conscious knowledge? Then I would be bound to guess better than if I had no cues at all. This is the solution that makes the most sense to me.

song of the day: "Kapitulation"-Tocotronic